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Monthly Macro Memo – The Reserve Era Begins

Thesis: Bitcoin’s center of gravity moved from retail speculation to state and institutional accumulation.

Signals

  • Policy: Shift from selling seized BTC to a reserve posture.
  • Product: Downside‑protected structures normalize exposure.
  • Liquidity: ETF/mandate flows create a higher structural bid.

Implications

  • Beta becomes policy‑sensitive; watch legislative calendars.
  • Alpha migrates to infrastructure and compliance rails.

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